Isaac Haas, after fracturing his elbow in a first round win over Cal State Fullerton, could miss the remainder of the NCAA tournament (although practiced today with a brace, so all hope is not lost). Haas’s dominance in the paint has been a critical part of the Boilermaker offense all season, so missing him could be devastating for the Boiler’s chances of reaching a Final Four. But how devastating [1]? Per sports-reference, Haas’s Box Plus Mins (i.e., contribution over an average player to points over 100 possessions) is 3.9 on offense, 2.8 on defense, and 6.6 overall (sports-reference’s rounding at one decimal place produces an error that means defensive and offensive numbers do not add to exactly the overall). Combining that with KenPom’s team efficiencies per 100 possessions, one can estimate what the impact of Haas’s contributions being lost would mean. The loss of Haas would dramatically impact the Boilermaker team, dropping the team from a +26.90 rating on KenPom (i.e. expe
